# Stat 3011 (Geyer) In-Class Examples (Student's t-Distribution)

## General Instructions

To do each example, just click the "Submit" button. You do not have to type in any R instructions (that's already done for you). You do not have to select a dataset (that's already done for you).

## What It Is

This distribution was discovered by W. S. Gosset, the chief statistician of the Guinness brewery in Dublin, Ireland. He discovered the t-distribution in order to deal with small samples arising in statistical quality control.

The brewery had a policy against employees publishing under their own names, thus he published is results about the t-distribution under the pen name "Student", and that name has become attached to the distribution.

### Distribution Theory

If is the sample mean and S the sample standard deviation for a random sample of size n from a population with mean and standard deviation , define and We know
1. both Z and T are approximately Normal(0, 1), if n is large.
2. Z is exactly Normal(0, 1) regardless of the size of n, if the population distribution is exactly normal.
3. T is exactly Student(n - 1), if the population distribution is exactly normal.
We know item 3 just by definition. That is how the t-distribution was originally defined.

From comparing item 1 and item 3, it is clear that the t-distribution is close to the Normal(0, 1) distribution if n is large. Hence the difference only matters when n is small. For this reason the t-distribution is sometimes called a "small sample" distribution, but that name is misleading in two ways

• The distribution of T is Student(n - 1) for all sample sizes n large or small.
• The key assumption is not that n is small, but that the population is exactly normal.
This is important, so we'll try another take on the same issue.
Question: What condition is required for T to have a t-distribution?

Bad Answer: Small n. (Completely irrelevant, as explained above.)

Correct Answer: The population distribution is exactly normal.

### Computer Simulation

Since we can only tell the difference between the t-distribution and the normal distribution when the sample size is small, we will use a small sample size.

The R code below simulates many (`nsim`) random samples from a normal distribution calculating both the z-statistic and the t-statistic for each sample. The histogram of each statistic is plotted along with the standard normal density curve (black) and the Student t-distribution density curve for the appropriate (n - 1) degrees of freedom (red). You should be able to see that the histogram for the z-statistic is closer to the normal density curve and the histogram for the t statistic is closer to the Student t-distribution density curve.

• If you increase the simulation size nsim (the number of z-statistic or t-statistic values used to make the histograms), the histograms get closer and closer to the theoretical density curves, the z-statistic closer to the normal (black) curve and the t-statistic closer to the t (red) curve.
• If you increase the sample size n the t-distribution gets closer to the normal distribution, and it gets harder to tell which statistic fits which curve. When n is really large, there's almost no difference between the curves.

### Comparison with the Normal Distribution

One why to compare Student's t-distribution and the standard normal distribution is just to run the simulation in the preceding section with different sample sizes n.

Another way is just to plot the theoretical density curves for various t-distributions and the standard normal distribution (no simulation).

## Probabilities and Critical Values

Doing probability and quantile look-up for the Student's t-distribution is exactly like similar problems for the normal distribution except for the differences (duh!)

• The names of the function are `pt` and `qt` rather than `pnorm` and `qnorm`.
• The `pt` and `qt` functions have no `mean` and `sd` arguments.
• The `pt` and `qt` functions do have a `df` (degrees of freedom) argument, which must be supplied.

### Lower-Tail Probabilities

The function

F(x) = pr(X <= x)
is called the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a probability model. It gives lower-tail probabilities.

The R function that gives the CDF of Student's t-distribution is `pt`.

There is, of course, a different t-distribution for each different degrees of freedom, so you have to specify the degrees of freedom as well as the endpoint of the interval.

For example,

calculates pr(T < 1.35), where T has the Student(6) distribution (Student's t-distribution with 6 degrees of freedom).

### Upper-Tail Probabilities

As with the normal distribution, we use the complement rule to calculate upper tail probabilities. For example,

calculates pr(T > 1.35), where T has the Student(6) distribution.

### Probabilities of Intervals

And also as with the normal distribution, we calculate the probability of an interval as the difference of two calls to the probability function.
pr(a < X < b) = F(b) - F(a)

Thus

the probability of an interval is the difference of the values of the CDF at the endpoints.

For example,

calculates pr(-2 < T < 2), where T has the Student(7) distribution (also calculated in the middle of p. 309 in Wild and Seber).

### Quantiles

Again as with the normal distribution the quantile function looks up quantiles (this is also the inverse CDF function). For example,

calculates the 0.05 quantile (also called the 5th percentile) of the Student(7) distribution.

### Critical Values

A so-called "critical value" of the t-distribution (or any other distribution, for that matter) is the point x such that the upper tail to the right of the point x has a specified probability, say p.

The lower tail to the left of x has, by the complement rule, probability 1 - p. So we can find the critical value by looking up the (1 - p)-th quantile.

For example, the first several values in the first line of Table 7.6.1 in Wild and Seber (p. 311) are looked up by

Note: Wild and Seber don't seem to use the term "critical value". They call them "percentage points". They must think that's clear, but I don't see how you keep from confusing them with percentiles. Lots of other books call them "critical values" and we'll follow the herd on this.

Of course, there isn't a lot of difference between quantiles and critical values. By the symmetry of the t-distribution one is just the negative of the other. That is,

have the same absolute value, just different signs.