Student Seminar Series – March 11, 2008
University of Minnesota
School of Statistics
College
of Liberal Arts

 

Adaptive Selection of Random Effects Models in Analysis of Longitudinal Data



Bo Zhang


Tuesday, March 11, 2008
11:00 AM,
300 Ford Hall
Minneapolis, East Bank Campus

Refreshments at 10:30 AM
300 Ford Hall



Abstract

Random effects models are commonly used parametric models in the analysis of longitudinal data. Selection of covariates and the 
variance-covariance matrix structure is crucial to the accuracy of estimation and prediction in random effects models. Most selection 
procedures used for random effects models (for example, AIC, BIC, and RIC) penalize increasing model size through a fixed penalty 
parameter.  We derive generalized degrees of freedom (GDF) for linear random effects models and use the GDF to define a 
data-adaptive complexity penalty for model selection. Data perturbation is employed to estimate the GDF of linear random 
effects models. The data-adaptive procedure outperforms information criteria (AIC, BIC) both for large and for small models. 
Simulation results support the effectiveness of the new procedure for modeling longitudinal data. Potential pursuits in the 
future are adaptive selection of generalized random effects models or nonlinear random effects models.