Student Seminar Series – January 17, 2008
University of Minnesota
School of Statistics
College
of Liberal Arts

 

Efficient Detection of Jumps and Roofs/Valleys in Regression Curves and Surfaces



Jong-Hoon Joo


Thursday, January 17, 2008
2:00 PM,
300 Ford Hall
Minneapolis, East Bank Campus



Abstract

 

Curve estimation from observed data with noise has broad applications.  In certain applications, the underlying regression curve has jumps or roofs/valleys at some unknown positions, representing structural changes of the related process.  Detection of such changes is therefore important for understanding the structural changes and for estimating the regression curve properly.  In the literature, a number of jump detection procedures have been proposed, most of which are based on estimation of the (one-sided) first order derivatives of the true regression curve.  In this paper, we propose an alternative jump detection procedure.  Besides the first order derivatives, we suggest using helpful information about jumps in the second order derivatives as well.  Generally speaking, first order derivatives of the true regression curve are sensitive to jumps, but they can not localize the detected jumps well.  As a comparison, second order derivatives can localize the detected jumps well, although they are often sensitive to noise.  Our proposed jump detection procedure tries to make use of helpful information about jumps in both the first order and the second order derivatives of the true regression curve.  Roofs or valleys in the true regression curve can be regarded as jumps in the first order derivative of the regression curve.  Similar to jump detection, our proposed roof-valley detection procedure is based on the second and third order derivatives of the true regression curve.  Theoretical justifications and numerical studies show that they work well in applications.