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Completion of Exponential Family Models

Another standard property of exponential families gives new processes by taking limits. Let tex2html_wrap_inline2319 be a direction in the parameter space such that tex2html_wrap_inline3153 for all tex2html_wrap_inline2375 and for all s ;SPMgt; 0. Then tex2html_wrap_inline2319 is called a direction of recession of tex2html_wrap_inline2427 (Rockafellar, 1970, p. 61). If tex2html_wrap_inline2427 is closed, then tex2html_wrap_inline2319 is a direction of recession if there exists even one tex2html_wrap_inline2375 such that tex2html_wrap_inline3153 for all s ;SPMgt; 0 (Rockafellar, 1970, Theorem 8.3). For any direction tex2html_wrap_inline2319 , let tex2html_wrap_inline3175 be the essential supremum of the natural statistic t(X), that is the infimum of all real numbers r such that tex2html_wrap_inline3181 (since the distributions in the family are absolutely continuous with respect to each other, any tex2html_wrap_inline2375 can be used here). If tex2html_wrap_inline3175 is finite, let

displaymath3187

Define normalized densities and measures by (1.14) and (1.15) with tex2html_wrap_inline3077 and if tex2html_wrap_inline3191 define

align365

Then tex2html_wrap_inline3193 is a density with respect to tex2html_wrap_inline2349 of the conditional probability measure tex2html_wrap_inline3197 . (By definition of essential supremum and continuity of measure, the set where tex2html_wrap_inline3193 is tex2html_wrap_inline3201 has tex2html_wrap_inline2349 -measure zero.)

  proposition374

This proposition follows from Barndorff-Nielsen (1978), p. 105.



Charles Geyer
Fri Jul 5 15:26:21 CDT 1996