Returning to the overstated claim with which we began, what did the phrase `write down a model' mean? The models our methods can handle are those specified by families of unnormalized densities.
The notion of an unnormalized density is elementary, occurring in the problem often assigned in introductory probability courses of finding the constant that normalizes a given function to be a probability density. Thus this section contains nothing deep. It merely gives new language for old concepts. But this is important. Language constrains thought, and new language leads to new ways of looking at old problems.
Let
be a measure space and h a nonnegative
real function on
. If
is finite and nonzero, then
defines a probability density f with respect to
of a measure P.
We say that
This game can be played for families of densities specifying a statistical
model. Let
be a family of unnormalized densities with respect to
. This
terminology implies that
is finite and nonzero for all
.
Also
defines a probability density
with respect to
of a measure
for all
.
Then
is a statistical
model specified by the family
of probability
densities with respect to
.
We say that
This terminology was introduced in Geyer (1994). It arises naturally from consideration of the most general case in which the methods of Monte Carlo maximum likelihood work.