Student Seminar Series - March 8, 2005
University of Minnesota
School of Statistics
College of Liberal Arts

Monte Carlo Methods for Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Hierarchical Models


Ronald Neath



Tuesday, March 8, 2005
1:30 PM, 47 Rapson Hall
Minneapolis, East Bank Campus


Refreshments at 1:00 PM
300 Ford Hall



Abstract

 Statistical models with a hierarchical structure, such as generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs), often yield likelihood functions that depend on high-dimensional, analytically intractable integrals. Likelihood-based inference, including maximum likelihood estimation, will thus require specialized computational methods. Deterministic optimization algorithms like Newton-Raphson or the EM algorithm are typically impracticable in these problems.

In this talk we will introduce the Monte Carlo EM algorithm, in which an intractable E-step is replaced by a Monte Carlo approximation. The application of this method to hierarchical models requires simulation from a distribution whose density is known only up to a normalizing constant; the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a natural choice. We illustrate the method on a logit-normal toy example, comparing the performance of three different Metropolis-Hastings samplers.