Fall Seminar Series  November 9, 2006
University of Minnesota
School of Statistics
College of Liberal Arts 

Recurrent Event Modeling and Statistical Analysis

Edsel A. Pena
Department of Statistics
University of South Carolina

Thursday, November 9, 2006
3:30 PM, 115 Ford Hall
Minneapolis, East Bank Campus
Social at 3:00 PM, 300 Ford Hall

 

Abstract

            Recurrent events occur in many scientific areas: engineering, reliability, biomedicine, public health, industry, and economics. Examples of recurrent events are failure of electronic and mechanical systems, nuclear power plant accidents, occurrence of shocks, hospitalization of a person with a chronic disease, re-occurrence of a tumor, outbreak of a disease, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreasing by at least 200 points during a trading day. The stochastic modeling and the appropriate statistical inference for such models are therefore of utmost importance. In this talk I will discuss several classes of models for recurrent events and discuss methods of inference for such models. Focus will be in the semi-parametric inference for such models. The statistical analysis of recurrent event models requires care and caution because in the monitoring of such events, informative censoring occurs because of a sum-quota accrual scheme, which also leads to the number of events observed per   experimental unit to be informative. Some concrete applications will be also be illustrated.